Bitcoin: Tactical Rebound or Bear Market Pause? How We’re Positioning Bitcoin Now

Actionable Market Insights

Why this report matters

Bitcoin just recorded its fifth consecutive negative monthly close, a streak that has historically preceded tactical rebounds rather than uninterrupted collapses. Yet liquidity remains fragile, on-chain data cautious, and macro crosscurrents are shifting beneath the surface.

At the same time, options positioning tells a different story: deep tail hedging, stabilizing skew, compressing implied volatility, and upside convexity quietly rebuilding. Negative gamma levels held. In this report, we break down the probability framework, the options flow dynamics, and what Bitcoin levels we are closely monitoring.

Bitcoin trend model has remained bearish